Sunday, June 21, 2009

Fixed Rates RISE....

Fixed rates have been making a steady march north the last few weeks, and we can see on the "rate tracker" at the Sydney Futures Exchange http://www.asx.com.au/sfe/targetratetracker.htm that market expectations for any further rate cuts have almost hit zero. Some commentators are now suggesting we may see a variable rate rise before the end of the year - the market is suggesting early 2010.

CBA/Colonial customers, who had been enjoying the best rate in town were bumped up 0.1% last week as CBA brought their variable rate back in-line with everyone else.


But what should you do? My feeling is that we have seen the best of the fixed rates for a time. I expect variable rates will increase over the next 12months and I suggest investors (and home owners) start factoring in repayments at higher levels - such as current fixed rates. If you start doing this now, then you will be ahead in repayments (or have a savings buffer) as well as being 'used' to it. If rates rise soon, you will be prepared, if they dont rise for a while, then you have simply increased yours savings/buffer for when they do rise.

History tells us these rates are low - they go down, but then they go up. Successful investors ride the cycle.

That said, if you see a good 'special' and like the security of some fixed rates, then that is the time to opportunistically lock in. Otherwise, why bet against the banks?

[Fiona currently has 52% of her finance on fixed rates from 1-3yrs.]

Friday, June 5, 2009

ANZ opens door to cut your Credit Limit

In a nice little announcement just before the long weekend, ANZ have advised brokers of the following change to some loan terms [our emphasis]:

"Effective 29th June 2009 a number of changes have been made to the terms and conditions for mortgage products. Most of the changes are minor. However, more significant changes have been made to specific clauses for fixed rate and equity line customers.
  • Fixed Rate customers:The clauses relating to “early repayment costs on fixed rate loans”.
  • Equity Manager and Home Equity Loan: Clauses introducing the right to: - reduce or cancel a credit limit at any time; and demand payment of any outstanding balance."

We have had concerns for sometime in this tightening credit market that lenders may move to 'free up' capital to lend to buyers by reducing unused credit limits or lines of credit that held by existing clients. Ths is clearly the first definite step in this direction by a lender - and one that has been leading the way in being cautious (they were the first to reduce LVR's).

I have suggested to some client in the past to place 'surplus funds' in a totally separate bank account - preferably with a bank you have no other loans with! Yes, this will cost you the differential between interest charged on the loan and the interest received on the deposit - but this is simply insurance that you can access the money when & if you need to.

If you have an ANZ equity facility you may want to follow this suggestion sooner, not later! It wont guarantee you get to keep access to the funds, but you will be lower down the list than someone who hasnt removed the surplus. (You might like to even go one step further and convert the equity facility to a standard loan!)

Hope you all have a great weekend,

Fiona